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FX



     The US dollar remained under pressure last week as the   €/£        The change in €/£/$                    €/$
     government  shutdown  delayed  the  release  of  key  data,
     including  September’s  non-farm  payroll  report.  This  left   0.8750                                  1.1780
     traders uncertain about the strength of the labor market. At   0.8740                                    1.1760
     the same time, the Euro benefited  from relatively stable                                                1.1740
     economic signals in Europe, gaining attractiveness against   0.8730
                                                                                                              1.1720
     the greenback. The EUR/USD rate rose by 0.5% to reach   0.8720
     1.1734 on Friday.                                                                                        1.1700
                                                        0.8710
     Last  week,  the  European  single  currency  weakened                                                   1.1680
                                                        0.8700
     against the British pound despite higher inflation figures,                                              1.1660
     with EU–Russia tensions taking focus over the data release.   0.8690                                     1.1640
     The Pound experienced fluctuations but was bolstered by
                                                        0.8680                                                1.1620
     rising  uncertainty  regarding  the  Bank  of  England’s  (BoE)   26.09.25  29.09.25  30.09.25  01.10.25  02.10.25  03.10.25
     policy outlook. BoE’s Catherine Mann said that the risk of
     prolonged  higher  inflation  is  emerging,  noting  persistent            €/£      €/$
     price pressures and supporting a hold on rates for now. The
     EUR/GBP pair declined by 0.4% for the week to 0.8709.








      CARBON


     European  carbon  prices  surged  last  week,  hovering         The change in Carbon Prices
     near mid-September highs.                             90

     The  market  is  rebounding  after  last  month’s     85
     compliance-buying   deadline   and   could   test
     80 EUR/tonne  this  week.  Prices  were  also  boosted  by   €/tonne  80
     the  maritime  sector’s  first-time  inclusion,  while  rising
     trade  tensions  and  uncertainty  over  a  possible  U.S.   75
     government  shutdown  added  further  volatility  to  the
     broader markets.                                      70
                                                                   Dec25       Dec26        Dec27       Dec28
     As such, EUAs expiring in Dec-25 soared by over 4% for
                                                                               26.09.25    03.10.25
     the week, ending at 79.16 EUR/tonne.




     Power prices in Ireland are strongly linked to gas and Carbon prices by the volume of gas fired power stations in Ireland’s power market. Gas prices are in turn influenced by
     oil prices and exchange rates.

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